Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2222-6990

The Efficiency of Sukuk Indices by Different Tenures: An Analysis From the 2008-Financial Crisis

Syazwani Abd Rahim, Mohd Nawawi Yaakob, NurFarhana Mohd Daud, Munirah Zakaria

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v11-i9/11078

Open access

The sukuk market in the Islamic capital market has undergone significant evolution and development. During the 2008 global financial crisis, the deteriorating economic condition of countries, especially Malaysia, as the biggest sukuk market in the world, has adversely affected the value of sukuk investments. The decrease of 33 percent in the total global sukuk issuance after the 2008 crisis generated a complicated situation among sukuk investors (classified sukuk as a risky investment), who then had increased the number of sukuk defaults. The high volatility affects long-term efficiency. The daily data of all sukuk indices are collected from Dow Jones Sukuk 1-3 Year Total Return Index (DJSUK3TR) and Dow Jones Sukuk 7-10 Year Total Return Index (DJSUK10TR). Accordingly, this research investigates the types of sukuk market efficiency before, during and after the 2008 global financial crisis utilising the GARCH-in-Mean (GARCH-M) model. The analyses are based on the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) and the Random Walk model. The results conclude that the sukuk index with a long-term tenure (DJSUK10TR) is the best market performance analysis. Overall, the sukuk market is recorded as an inefficient market. In short, the findings will provide valuable information, guidelines and give confidence to issuers, policymakers, regulatory bodies, and investors to invest and issue sukuk. The empirical contributions in this study show the importance of sukuk to encourage investors to invest in sukuk in order to increase economic growth and investment.

AAOIFI. (2008). Investment Islamic Bonds (Shari’ah Standard No. 18). Manama: Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions (AAOIFI).
Abdmoulah, W. (2010). Testing the Evolving Efficiency of Arab Stock Markets. International Review of Financial Analysis. 19. 25–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2009.11.004.
Ab-Hamid, N. H., Zakaria, N. B., & Ab Aziz, N. H. (2014). Firm's Performance and Risk with the Presence of Sukuk Rating as Default Risk. Procedia Social and Behavioural Sciences. 181-188.
Abedini, B. (2009). Weak Form Efficiency: Stock Market in the Gulf Co-Operation Council Countries. SCMS Journal of Indian Management. 15-29.
Alam, N., & Rizvi, S. A. R. (2016). Islamic Capital Markets: Volatility, Performance and Stability. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN: 978-3-319-33991-7. ISSN: 2523-3483. First Edition. XI-126. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33991-7.
Ahmad, W., & Radzi, R. M. (2011). Sustainability of Sukuk and Conventional Bond during Financial Crisis: Malaysia’s Capital Market. Global Economy and Finance Jounal. 33-45.
Asiri, B. K. (2008). Testing Weak-Form Efficiency in the Bahrain Stock Market. International Journal of Emerging Markets. 3(1). 38-53.
https://doi.org/10.1108/17468800810849213.
Awad, I., & Daraghma, Z. (2009). Testing the Weak-Form Efficiency of the Palestinian Securities Market. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics. 32. 7-17.
Bhuiyan, R. A., Rahman, M. P., Saiti, B., & Ghani, G. B. M. (2017). Financial Integration between Sukuk and Bond Indices of Emerging Markets: Insights from Wavelet Coherence and Multivariate-GARCH Analysis. Borsa Istanbul Review. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.bir.2017.11.006.
Black, A. L., & McMillan, D. G. (2006). Asymmetric Risk Premium in Value and Growth Stocks. International Review of Financial Analysis. 15. 237–246.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2004.12.001.
Bollerlsev, T., Chou, R. Y., & Kroner, K. F. (1992). ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence. Journal of Econometrics. 52. 55–59.
Cooray, A. V., & Wickramasighe, G. (2007). The Efficiency of Emerging Stock Markets: Empirical Evidence from the South Asian Region. Journal of Developing Areas. 41(1). 171-183.
Chander, R., Mehta, K., & Sharma, R. (2008). Empirical Evidences on Weak Form Stock Market Efficiency: The Indian Experience. Decision. 35(1). 75-109.
Engle, R. F., Ito, T., & Lin, W. L. (1990). Meteor Showers or Heat Waves? Heteroscedastic Intra Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market. Econometrica. 58. 525-542.
Fama, E. F. (1965). The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices. Journal of Business. 38(1). 34-105.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance. 25. 383-417.
Hamid, K., Suleman, M. T., Shah, S. A. Z., & Akash, R. S. I. (2010). Testing the Weak form of Efficient Market Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Asia-Pacific Markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics. 58. 121-133.
Haroon, M. (2012). Testing the Weak Form Efficiency of Karachi Stock Exchange. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences. 6(2). 297-307.
International Islamic Financial Market (IIFM) Sukuk Report. (2016). A Comprehensive Study of the Global Sukuk Market. Published March 2016. 5th Edition. http://www.iifm.net.
International Islamic Financial Market (IIFM) Sukuk Report. (2019). A Comprehensive Study of the Global Sukuk Market. Published July 2019. 8th Edition. http://www.iifm.net
Lazar, A. B. N. D. (2009). Testing of Weak-Form Efficiency in Indian Capital Market. Advances in Management. 2(10). 15-20.
Mabakeng, M. E. P., & Sheefeni, J. P. S. (2014). Examining the Weak Form Efficiency in Foreign Exchange Market in Namibia. International Review of Research in Emerging Markets and the Global Economy (IRREM). (ISSN: 2311-3200). 1(4).
Mishra, A. K., & Thomas, P. M. (2008). Integration and Efficiency of Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets in India. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1088255 or https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1088255.
Mittal, S. K., & Jain, S. (2009). Stock Market Behaviour: Evidences from Indian Market. Vision The Journal of Business Perspective. 13(3). 19-29.
Ntim, C. G., Opong, K. K., Danbolt, J., & Dewotor, F. S. (2011). Testing the Weak-Form Efficiency in African Stock Markets. Managerial Finance. 37(3). 195–218.
Ojo, O. M., & Azeez, B. A. (2012). A Test of Strong-Form Efficiency of the Nigerian Capital Market. Business Systems Review. 1(1). 10-26.
Omar, M., Hussain, H., Bhatti, G. A., & Altaf, M. (2013). Testing of Random Walks in Karachi Stock Exchange. Elixer Online Journal. 54. 12293-12299.
Rahim, S. A., & Ahmad, N. (2016). Investigating FTSE KLCI Using CAAR Estimations Following Sukuk Announcement in Malaysia: Based on Sukuk Ratings. Journal of Investment and Management. 5(6). 158-165. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jim.20160506.19. ISSN: 2328-7713 (Print); ISSN: 2328-7721 (Online).
Rizvi, S. A. R., & Arshad, S. (2015). Investigating the Efficiency of East Asian Stock Markets through Booms and Busts. Pacific Science Review. 16. 275-279. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pscr.2015.03.003.
Shahida, S., & Sapiyi, S. (2013). Why Do Firm Issues Sukuk over Bonds? Malaysia Evidence. Research Centre for Islamic Economic and Finance. 551-573.
Sheefeni, J.P.S. (2015). Testing the Strong-Form Efficiency of the Namibian Stock Market. International Review of Research in Emerging Markets and the Global Economy (IRREM). ISSN: 2311-3200. 1(4). www.globalbizresearch.org
Squalli, J. (2006). A Non-Parametric Assessment of Weak-Form Efficiency in the UAE Financial Markets. Applied Financial Economics. 16(18). 1365-1373. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/09603100500447594.

In-Text Citation: (Rahim et al., 2021)
To Cite this Article: Rahim, S. A., Yaakob, M. N., Daud, N. M., & Zakaria, M. (2021). The Efficiency of Sukuk Indices by Different Tenures: An Analysis From the 2008-Financial Crisis. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 11(9), 890–905.