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International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2222-6990

The Relationship among Trade, Income and Environment in Iran

Mohsen Mehrara, Abbas Rezazadeh Karsalari, Maysam Musai, Reza Shafizadeh

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v4-i12/1365

Open access

This paper examines causal relationships between environment, GDP and trade for Iran using annual data over the period 1970-201, applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). The results suggest that there is a long-run relationship between these variables. CO2 emissions have a positive long-run relationship with per capita income, indicating economic growth tends to worsen environmental quality. In addition, CO2 emissions have a positive long-run relationship with openness, supporting for the so-called race-to-the bottom hypothesis for developing countries. The Granger Causality test indicates strong unidirectional effects from GDP to CO2 emissions.

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