Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2225-8329

Exchange Rate Volatility, Stock Market Performance and Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria

Odili Okwuchukwu

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARAFMS/v5-i2/1693

Open access

This study investigated the impact of exchange rate volatility and stock market performance on the inflow of foreign direct investment to Nigeria using time series data from 1980 to 2013. It employed the ordinary least square technique and error correction mechanism in its estimations. The result revealed that exchange rate volatility has negative and significant effect on the inflow of foreign direct investment to Nigeria both in the long run and in the short run. It further revealed that market capitalization, proxy for stock market performance was positively signed and statistically significant. Apparently, a stable and well developed capital market will definitely attract direct foreign investment to Nigeria. The study recommends the pursuance of sound exchange rate management system and policies that will lead to increase in domestic production of export commodities. The study further recommends deepening of the capital market to provide the needed funds for investment and avoidance of dollarization of the economy to reduce the stress on foreign exchange earnings. Sound foreign reserve management practices are imperative for Nigeria as measures of maintaining the value of the naira and reduce the impact of international capital shocks.

Aizenman, J. (1992), Exchange Rate Flexibility, Volatility and Patterns of Domestic and Foreign Direct Investment, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, vol.39 no. 4 (1992) 890-922.
Ajayi, S. I. (2006), The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: A survey of the evidence, in Ajayi, S.I. (ed.) Foreign direct investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Origins, Targets, Impact and Potential, African Economic Research Consortium: Nairobi.
Akinlo, A. E. (2004), Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Policy Modelling, 26: 627-639.
Alaba, O. (2003), Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: Proceeding of the WIDER Conference on Sharing Global Prosperity, Helsinki, Finland.
Aseidu, E. (2009). ‘’Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: The Role of Natural Resources, Market, Government Policy, Institutions and Instability’’. United Nations University, World Institute for Development Economic Research. Research paper No.2005/24, 15.
Asteriou, D., and Hall, S. G. (2007), Applied econometrics: A modern Approach, New York Palgrave Macmillan.
Blonigen, B. (1997), Firm-Specific Assets and the Link between Exchange Rates and Foreign
Box, G. P. F., and Jenkins, G. M. (1978), Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. 3rd Edn., Holden Day, San Francisco, U.S.A.
Bahmani-Oskooee, M., and Mitra R. (2008), Exchange Rate Risk and Commodity Trade between the US and India, Open Economics Review, 19, 71-80.
Brahmasrene, T., and Jiranyakul, K. (2001), Foreign Direct Investment in Thailand, What Factors Matter? , Proceedings of the Academy for International Business, 1(2): 13-25.
Campos, N. F., and Kinoshita, Y. (2003), Why Does Foreign Direct Investment go where it goes? New
Evidence from the Transition Economies. Ajayi, S. I. (Ed.) Foreign direct investment in sub- Saharan Africa: Origins, targets, impact and potential. Nairobi: African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), 33-54.
Caporale, G. M., Ali, F. M., and Spagnolo, N. (2013), Exchange Rate Uncertainty and International Portfolio Flows. Discussion Papers 1296, German Institute for Economic Research. Retrieve from: https://www./diw.de/discussionpapers.
Cho, G., Sheldon, I. M., and Mc Corriston, S. (2002), Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Agriculture Trade, American Journal of Agriculture Economics 84(4), 931-942.
Cushman, D. O. (1985), Real Exchange Rate Risk, Expectations, and the Level of Direct Investment,
Review of Economics and Statistics vol.67 no. 2 (1985) 297-308.
Cushman, D. O. (1988), Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment in the United
Dewenter, K. L. (1995), Do Exchange Rate Changes Drive Foreign Direct Investment?. The Journal of Business, 68 (3): 405-433.
Dixit, A., and Pindyck, R. (1994), Investment under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press, Princeton, U.S.A.
Edo, S. E. (2011), Capital Market Development in an Emerging Economy and the Challenge of Fostering Foreign Participation. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance., 4(2): 195-215.
Egwuatu, C. (2007), Foreign Direct Investment and the Nigerian Economy: An Unpublished M.sc Thesis , Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, 145pages.
Ellahi, N. (2011), Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment Behaviour in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis with Auto Regression Distributed Lag Application. Afr. J. Bus. Manag., 5(29): 11656-11661.
Engle, R. F., and Granger, C. W. J. (1987), Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing. Econometrica 55 (2): 251–276.
Eun, C. S., and Rasnick, B. G. (1988), Exchange Rate Uncertainty, Forward Contracts and International Portfolio Selection. J. Finance., 43: 197-215.
Feils, D. J., and Rahman, M. (2008), Regional Economic Integration and Foreign Direct Investment: The Case of NAFTA. Management International Review, 48(2): 147-163.
Fernandez, A., and Montre, P. (1966), The Surge in Capital Inflows to Developing Countries: An Analytical Over View, The World Bank Economic Review, 11 (3): 451-470.
Foad, H. S. (2005), Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Oriented FDI. A Paper from Emory University, Atlanta, GA, pp: 2-7.
Froot, K., and Stein, J. (1991), Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach, Quarterly Journal of Economics (1991) 1191-1217.
Funke, N., and Nsouli, S. M. (2003), The New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD): Opportunities and Challenges, IMF working paper No. 03/69.
Goldberg, S. L. (1993), Exchange Rates and Investment in United States Industry, Review of Economics and Statistics vol. 75 no.4 (1993) 575-588.
Goldberg, S. L. (2006), Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment. Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER.
Goldberg, L., and Kolstad, C. (1995), Foreign Direct Investment, Demand Uncertainty, International Economic Review, vol. 36 no. 4, pp. 855-73.
Granger, C. (1981), Some Properties of Time Series Data and their uses in Econometric Model Specification, Journal of Econometrics, 16 (1): 121–130.
Han, H., and Ray, H. (2006), Exchange Rates, Equity Prices and Capital Flows. Rev. Financ. Stud., 19: 273-317.
Hoover, K. D. (2014), Causality in Economics and Econometrics. Accessed online on 12 April, 2014 at http//www.dictionary of economics.com/arocle?id=pde2008-c00569>doi.10.1057/9780230226203.0209
Jeon, B. N., and Rhee, S. S. (2008), The Determinants of Korea’s Foreign Direct Investment from the United States, 1980-2001: An Empirical Investigation of Firm Level Data, Contemporary Economic Policy, 26(1): 118-131.
Johansen, S. (1988), Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vectors, Journal of Economic Dynamic Control 12: 231-254.
Johansen, S., and Jusleius, K. (1990), Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Conintegration – With Applications to the Demand for Money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 52,169-210.
Ibrahim, W. O., and Onokosi-Alliyu, S. O. (2008), Determinations of Foreign Direct Trade in Nigeria: Political Factor Effect Revisited. Retrieved January 15, 2014 from http://ssrn.com/abstract=1136083
Kamaly, A. (2007), Trends and Determinants of Mergers and Acquisitions in Developing Countries in the 1990s. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 8: 16-30.
Klein, M., and Rosengren, E. (1994), The Real Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment in the
Kyereboah-Coleman, A., and Agyire-Tettey, K. F. (2008), Effect of Exchange-Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Case of Ghana (Case study). Journal of Risk Finance, 9(1): 52 – 70.
Levich, R. M., Hayt, G. S., and Ripston, B. A. (1998), Survey of Derivative and Risk Management Practices by U.S. Institutional Investors. Survey Conducted by the NYU Salomon Center. CIBC World Markets and EPMG. Retrieved from: http://papers.ssrn.com/so13/papers
Lucas, R. E. J. (1990), Why Doesn’t Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries? Am. Econ. Rev., 80: 92-96.
National Bureau of Statistics. (NBS) (2010), The Review of the Nigerian Economy. Downloaded online at - http://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng
Naude, W. A., and Krugell, W. F. (2007), Investigating Geography and Institutions as Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Africa Using Panel Data, Applied Economics, 9(10): 1223-1233.
Nwankwo, O. (2013), Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Power Sector of Nigeria, 2000-2011. Journal of Management Research, 5 (3):63-80.
Obiechina, M. E. (2010), Capital Flows and Financial Crises: Policy Issues and Challenges for Nigeria. CBN Econ. Financial Rev., 48(1): 93-112.Asian J. Bus. Management, 6(4): 146-154, 2014 154.
Obiora, K. I., and Igue, N. N. (2006), Exchange Rate Volatility and U.S. Nigeria Trade Flows: An Econometric Appraisal of the Evidence. Paper Presented at the 11th Annual Conference of the African Economic Society, 5th – 7th July. Dakar, Senegal.
Odili, O. (2014), Exchange Rate and Balance of Payment: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Econometric Investigation on Nigeria. IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance, vol.4, Issue 6, 21-30.
Offiong, I. A., and Atsu, I. A. (2014), Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria. International Review of Management and Business Research, 3 (3), 1538-1550.
Ogunleye, E. K. (2008), Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Selected Sub-Sahara African Countries, 1970-2005. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Ibadan, Nigeria.
Omorokunwa, O. G., and Ikponmosa, N. (2014), Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Private Investment in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Business Management 6(4): 146-154.
Osinubi, T. S., and Amaghionyeodiwe, L. A. (2009), Foreign Direct Investment and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria, International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, 6 (2): 84-115.
Qi, L. (2007), The Relationship Between Growth, Total Investment and Inward FDI: Evidence From Time-Series Data. International Review of Applied Economics, 21(1): 119 – 135.
Ramiraz, M. D. (2006), Economic and Institutional Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Chile: A Time Series Analysis, 1960-2001. Contemporary Economic Policy, 24(3): 459-471.
Solomon, A. G. (2014). The evolution of legislative framework with impact on raising the Fiscal Union, Knowledge Horizons. Economics, 6(1): 141-145.
Udoh, E., and Egwaikhide, F. O. (2008), Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria. Botswana J. Econ., 5(7): 14-31.
World Investment Report. (2006), United Nations.
World Investment Report. (2013): Global Value Chains: Investment and Trade for Development.
Yih-Yun, Y. J., Groenewold, N., and Tcha, M. (2000), The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Australia. The Economic Record, 76 (232): 45-54.
Yousaf, S., Shahzadi, I., Kanwal, B., and Hassan, M. (2013), Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on FDI in Pakistan. IOSR J. Bus. Management, 12(1): 79-86.

In-Text Citation: (Okwuchukwu, 2015)
To Cite this Article: Okwuchukwu, O. (2015). Exchange Rate Volatility, Stock Market Performance and Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting Finance and Management Sciences, 5(2), 222–239.