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International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2222-6990

Prediction for Spread of COVID-19 in India using SIR Model

Mohd Rahimie Md Noor, Noor Azreen Rosedee, Nurulain Afiqah Abd Razak, Wan Nur Aisyah Wan Roslan, Mohd Azry Abdul Malek, Sharifah Athirah Syed Adnan, Ahmad Bukhari Mohd Yasin, Mohd Zainuri Muhammad, Amri Ab Rahman

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v14-i6/21795

Open access

The outbreak of the coronavirus (Covid-19) disease has resulted in a worldwide crisis. To control the transmission of the virus, Standard Operating Procedures (SOP) during the pandemic, such as movement control orders, have been implemented. This project aims to study the transmission of the Covid-19 virus in India using the SIR model. The SIR model is used to derive differential equations using Covid-19 data from January 2020. The maximum number of infectious individuals with different contact ratios was also analyzed. As a result, using MATLAB software, it can be concluded that as the reproduction number of Covid-19 transmission increases, the wave speed will also increase. To minimize the wave speed, the contact ratio must be controlled. It is also proven that the number of infectious individuals can be reduced by lowering the contact ratio.

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(Noor et al., 2024)
Noor, M. R. M., Rosedee, N. A., Razak, N. A. A., Roslan, W. N. A. W., Malek, M. A. A., Adnan, S. A. S., Yasin, A. B. M., Muhammad, M. Z., & Rahman, A. A. (2024). Prediction for Spread of COVID-19 in India using SIR Model. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 14(6), 1458–1470.