Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2225-8329

The Impact of Macroeconomics Variables toward Stock Market in Malaysia

Muhammad Aiman Haziq Norehan, Abdul Rahim Ridzuan

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARAFMS/v10-i1/7232

Open access

This paper investigated the impact of macroeconomic variables in the stock market in Malaysia from the period 1981 to 2017 using annual data. The inflation rate, exchange rate, broad money and domestic saving are the selected macroeconomic variables that were chosen in this study. The study implemented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation to investigate the short-run and long-run elasticities of the proposed model. The results from the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron tests of stationarity indicated that all the variables were non-stationary at a level I (o) but stationary at the first difference I (1). The finding based on long-run elasticities reveals that inflation and exchange rate is significant and positively influenced stock market in Malaysia. Meanwhile, domestic saving and broad money have a negative impact on the stock market in the long run.

1. Shahbaz, M., Lean, H. H., & Kalim, R. (2013). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Stock Market Development: Evidence from Pakistan. Ekonomska Istrazivanja, 26(1), 17–32.
2. Kwofie, C., & Ansah, R. K. (2018). A Study of the Effect of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Stock Market Returns in Ghana. International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, 2018, 1–8.
3. Mohamed, I. A., & Ahmed, S. (2018). The Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns in The Jordanian Stock Market. Global Journal of Management and Business, 3(8), 087–093.
4. Karki, D. E. (2018). Stock Market Responses to Macroeconomic Dynamics: Testing for Long- Run Equilibrium in Nepal. Pravaha, 24(1), 64–82.
5. Patel, S. (2012). The Effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on The Performance of The Indian Stock Marketpatel, S. (2012). The Effect of Macroeconomic Determinants on The Performance of The Indian Stock Market. Nmims Management Review, Xxii(August), 117–127. Retrieved from Nmims Management Review, Xxii(August), 117–127.
6. Uwubanmwen, A. E. I. L. (2015). Inflation Rate and Stock Returns : Evidence from The Nigerian Stock Market . International Journal of Business and Social Science, 6(11), 155–167.
7. Azeez, B. A., & Obalade, A. A. (2019). Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development in Nigeria: ( 1981-2017 ), 15(1), 203–216.
8. Pesaran, M. H. (1997). The role of economic theory in modelling the long run. The Economic Journal, 107(440), 178–191.
9. Bahmani-Oskooee, M., and Ng, R. C. W. (2002). Long-run demand for money in Hong-Kong: An application of the ARDL model. International Journal of Business and Economics, 1(2), 147-155.
10. Laurenceson, J., and Chai, J. C. H. (2003). Financial Reform and Economic Development in China. Cheltenham, U.K, Edward Elgar.
11. Narayan, P. K. (2004). Reformulating critical values for the bound f-statistic approach to cointegration: An application to the tourism demand model for Fiji, Discussion Paper, Department of Economics, Monash University, Australia.
12. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289–326.
13. Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for unit roots in time series regression. Biometrika, 75, 335–346.
14. Okech, T. C. (2016). Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns of Listed Commercial Banks in Kenya, Iv(6), 390–418.
15. Khalid, W., & Khan, S. (2017). Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on The Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience. International Journal of Econometrics and Financial Management, 5(2), 42–59.
16. Fernando, A. (2019). Macroeconomic Impact on Stock Market Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Sri Lanka. Business and Economics Journal, 09(04). Https://Doi.Org/10.4172/2151-6219.1000379.

To cite this article: Norehan, M. A. H., Ridzuan, A. R. (2020). The Impact of Macroeconomics Variables toward Stock Market in Malaysia, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences 10 (1): 360-367.