Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2222-6990

Crude Palm Oil Price Fluctuation in Malaysia

Mohamad Azwan Md Isa, Azlan Taha Baharim, Suhana Mohamed, Mohd Khairul Ariff Noh, Ferri Nasrul, Wan Muhd Faez Wan Ibrahim, Siti Salwa Hassan

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v10-i5/7319

Open access

Crude palm oil (CPO) is one of the commodity that contributes aggressively to the Malaysian economy. Malaysia, at present, grasps the position as the world’s second-largest palm oil producer and exporter in the world after Indonesia. However, there is uncertainty in the price of CPO, and the trend shows an intense fluctuation for the last 20 years. The drive of this study is to examine the relationship and the impacts of four macroeconomic variables, namely the exchange rate (EXC), inflation (INF), money supply (M3) and gross domestic product (GDP) on the Malaysian CPO price. The focus is on the macroeconomic factors that affect CPO price in Malaysia from 1999 to 2018. The research uses secondary data collected from the World Bank and Datastream. The study employs descriptive statistics, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF) unit root, correlation and multiple regression tests to analyze the data. Based on the ADF test results, the data series are integrated or stationary. Pearson’s correlation test reveals that the EXC has negative correlation while INF, M3 and GDP indicate a positive correlation with the CPO price, respectively. The multiple regression test results are also consistent with the correlation test. INF and GDP found to be significant variables, whereas EXC and M3 are not. These findings are beneficial to the policymakers, palm oil growers or producers and palm oil-related products manufacturers in their planning, forecasting, and making the best policy-related, business and investment decisions in the future. Through this research, the researcher can conclude the findings and correlation between the macroeconomic factors with CPO price in Malaysia.

Adeyemo, A. O. (2015). Analyses of the Determinants of Palm Oil Production in Nigeria (1971-2010). Greener Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 5(4), 110–117.
Ahmadian, A. (2015). The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on the Automobile Industry. OPEC Energy Review, 8(2), 141–161.
Ahmed, A. E. A. (2018). Relationship between Crude Oil Price Fluctuations and Inflation in Oman (1990-2017). GCNU Journal, 12, 1–46.
Applanaidu, S. D. A., Arshad, F. M., Shamsudin, M. N., & Hameed, A. A. A. (2011). An Econometric Analysis of the Link between Biodiesel Demand and Malaysian Palm Oil Market. International Journal of Business and Management, 6(2). 35-45.
Arasim, D. H., & Karia, A. A. (2015). Identifying and Forecasting the Factors that Derive CPO Prices in Malaysia Using NARX Model. International Journal of Case Studies, 4(12), 4–14.
Aziz, M. I. A., & Applanaidu, S. D. A. (2017). Effects of Palm Oil Price on Exchange Rate?: A Case Study of Malaysia and Indonesia. Institutions and Economies, 9(4), 71-87.
Bentivoglio, D., Finco, A., & Bucci, G. (2018). Factors Affecting the Indonesian Palm Oil Market in Food and Fuel Industry: Evidence from A Time Series Analysis. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 8(5), 49–57.
Cheng, D., Shi, X., Yu, J., & Zhang, D. (2019). How Does the Chinese Economy React to Uncertainty in International Crude Oil Prices? International Review of Economics and Finance, 64, 147–164.
Chuangchid, K., Wiboonpongse, A., Sriboonchitta, S., & Chaiboonsri, C. (2012). Factors Affecting Palm Oil Price Based on Extremes Value Approach. International Journal of Marketing Studies, 4(6), 54-65.
Department of Statistics. (2017). Selected agricultural indicators, Malaysia, 2017. https://www.dosm.gov. my/v1/index.php?r=column/cthemeByCat&cat=72&bul_id=MDNYUitINmRKcENRY2FvMmR5T WdGdz09&menu_id=Z0VTZGU1UHBUT1VJMFlpaXRRR0xpdz09. Accessed April 8, 2020.
Mahdi, A. E.-S. A. A. (2012). The Impact of Crude Oil Price Changes on Money Supply (M2) In Oman (1990-2016). 5(June), 259–278.
Malaysian Palm Oil Board. (2017). Malaysian oil palm industry performance 2016 and prospects for 2017. http://www.mpob.gov.my/images/stories/pdf/2017/2017_Dr.KushairiPALMEROS2017.pdfAccessed on April 8, 2020.
Mukhriz, I. A. A., & Applanaidu, S. D. (2017). Effect of Palm Oil Price on Exchange Rate: A Case Study of Malaysia and Indonesia. Institutions and Economies, 9(4), 71–87.
Norlin, K., Hakimah, N. A. H., Sharmila, T., & Nur, F. M. (2018). Crude Palm Oil Price Forecasting in Malaysia: An Econometric Approach. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 52(3), 247–259.
Punati, N., & Raju, R. (2017). Determinants of Crude Oil Prices in India. SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, 4(10), 1–9.
Rahman, N. M. N. A. (2013). The Empirical Analysis on Prices of the Malaysian Crude Palm oil Futures Market. International Review of Management and Business Research, 2(2), 401–412.
Rifin, A. (2010). The Effect of Export Tax on Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Export Competitiveness. ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 27(2), 173.
Shariff, F., Rahman, A. K. A., & Amirudin, M. N. (2006). The Elasticity of Foreign Demand for Malaysian Palm Oil. Oil Palm Industry Economic Journal, 6, 1–6.
Soundarapandiyan, K., & Ganesh, M. (2017). An Analytical View of Crude Oil Prices and Its Impact on Indian Economy. IOSR Journal of Business and Management, 23–28.
Susila, W. R. (2004). Contribution of Oil Palm Industry to Economic Growth and Poverty Alleviation in Indonesia. Jurnal Litbang Pertanian, 23(1), 107–114.
Tang, K. H. D. (2018). Climate change in Malaysia: Trends, contributors, impacts, migration and adaptations. Science of the Total Environment, 650(2), 1858–1871.
Tang, K. H. D., & Al Qahtani, H. M. S. (2019). Sustainability of oil palm plantations in Malaysia. Environmental Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-019-00458-6
Zabid, M. F. M., & Abidin, N. Z. (2015). Palm Oil Industry: A Review of the Literature on the Modell

In-Text Citation: (Isa et al., 2020)
To Cite this Article: Isa, M. A. M., Baharim, A. T., Mohamed, S., Noh, M. K. A., Nasrul, F., Ibrahim, W. M. F. W., & Hassan, S. S. (2020). Crude Palm Oil Price Fluctuation in Malaysia. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(5), 879–892.