Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2226-3624

Does Trade Openness Make Sense? Investigation of Nigeria Trade Policy

Ude Damian Kalu, Agodi Joy E.

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v4-i1/1469

Open access

The empirically examined whether trade openness makes sense, using Nigeria trade policy as yardstick. Considering the framework of the traditional trade theories which postulate that trade has positive impact on economic growth, the study employed Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH), Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Pairwise-Granger causality methodology using secondary data from 1984 to 2013. Results show that trade openness has a significant impact on economic growth. This implies that trade openness make sense in Nigeria given that most of the period under investigation ranged from when Nigeria adopted unrestricted trade policies. The control variables (interest rate and exchange rate) have significant positive effect on economic growth in Nigeria. The pairwise Granger causality test shows that there is a unidirectional causality between economic growth and trade openness at lag one only.

Ajakaiye, O. A and Soyibo, J. (1999). Institutional Framework and the Process of Trade Policy Making in Africa: A Case Study of Nigeria. A Paper for International Conference: Dakar.
Aka, B. F. (2003). Fiscal Adjustment, Poverty, Inequality and Welfare in Cote D’ivoire: A CGE model Analysis, Final Report AERC, Nairobi, Kenya.
Analogbei, F.C.O (2000). Trade reforms and productivity in Nigeria, in proceeding of the Ninth Conference of the Zonal Research Unit of the CBN Titled Productivity and Capacity Building in Nigeria, P 159, Lagos press.
Bacchetta, P. and Van Wincoop, E., (2003). Do Consumer Prices React Less Than Import Prices to Exchange Rates? Journal of Europeans Economics Association (1), 662 – 670.
Bautista, A. and Thomas, R. (1997). Does Trade Growth Cause Growth? American Economic Review. 53(1).
Ben-David, N. (1993). Commercial Policy in the Undeveloped Countries, American Economic review 49 (2).
CBN, (1979). Central Bank of Nigeria Quarterly Report. Nigeria.
CBN, (2013). Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin. Nigeria.
Chakraverty, S. and Singh, .A. (1988). The Desirable Forms of Economic Openness in the South Mimeo. Helsinki, WIDER (World Institute for Development Economics Research.
Decalawe, G., Partry, M., Savard, K. and Thorbecke, G. (1999). Environmental Impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement; In P.M Garber (ed) the Mexico-US Free Trade Agreement, Cambridge, MA MIT Press.
Dollar, D. (1992). Outward Oriented Developing Economics Really do Grow More Rapidly; Evidence From 95 LDCs, 1976 – 85, Economic Development and Cultural Change.
Dorosh, M. and Sahn, P. (1999). Trade Openness and Income Inequality in Developing Countries, CSGR Working Paper Series 232/07.
Knetter, M.M. (1993). International Comparisons of Pricing-to-Market Behavior. American Economic Review 83(3): 473-86. One of the Earliest Papers Introducing the Concept of Pricing-to-Market.
Mete, R. (2006). Do Economist Agree on Anything, Yes! The Economists’ voice 3 (9)
Obaseki, P.J. and Ojo, M. O. (1998). Challenges of Globalization for Macroeconomic. Policy and Management in Nigeria CBN. Economic and Financial Review 36 (4) 425.
Ogujiuba, K. K., Oji, G.O., and Adenuga (2004). Is “Trade” Openness Valid for Nigeria’s Long Run Growth: A Cointegration Approach” A Paper Presented to the USAID-Nigeria.
Omoke, P. (2004). Impact of trade Liberalization on the Environment in Developing Countries p 40
Rodriguez and Rodrik (2000). Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic’s Guide to the Gross-National Evidence; NBER Working Paper No. 7081.
Romer D, (1993). Openness and inflation: Theory and Evidence, Eviatecly Journal of Economics 4(1), 869 – 903.
Sachs, J. and Warner, A. (1995). Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration Trade. Brooking Papers on Economic Activities.
Schiff, J. and Winter, M. (1998). Trade Liberalization and Environment in the Pacific Basin; Coordinated Approaches to Mexican Trade and Environment Policy. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 24(2)
Singh, H.P. (1994) Import Policy for a Developing Economy, Allahabada, Ind Chugh Publication.
Sodersten, R. and Reed, F. (1994). Does Globalization Hurt the Poor? Policy Research Working Paper 252. Poverty Reduction and Economic management Division World Bank Institute.
Ukwueze, E. R (2009). The Concept of Trade and Economic Reliance for Nigeria, in Obiora Anichebe (ed), Issues in Nigeria People and Culture. (Nsukka, Afro-Orbis publication Ltd 2009). 175 – 179.
Wade, E. W. (1994). Of Openness and Distance: Trade Development in the Common Wealth of Independent States. IMF Working Paper, European 11 department October.
Woytek, S. H, (2003). The Distribution of Gains Between Investing and Borrowing Countries, American Economic Review 59(2) 473 – 85.

(Kalu & E., 2015)
Kalu, U. D., & E., A. J. (2015). Does Trade Openness Make Sense? Investigation of Nigeria Trade Policy. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 4(1), 6–33.