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International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2226-3624

The Effect of Business Cycles' Fluctuations on Bank Profitability: The Case Study on Iran Melli Bank (1992-2014)

Rafik Nazarian, Azade Mehrabian, Brjang Moradi, Leila Sedighikamal

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v6-i1/2560

Open access

Regarding the analysis and stability of both fiscal and banking sectors, the link between business cycles’ fluctuations and banks’ profitability has been highly underscored up to this point. Macroeconomics conditions can impact banks’ performance, thereby they are possible to affect other economic sectors too. The present paper, based on Arellano and Bond (1991) GMM model, examines the impact of macroeconomic variables on Iran Melli Bank’s profitability. Paper’s respective data were extracted from Iran Melli Bank’s balance sheets and Iranian Central Bank temporal series data for the period of 1992-2014. Research findings demonstrate that there is a significant relation between business cycles’ fluctuations and Iran Melli Bank’s profitability, accordingly, in addition to downsizing itself for gaining more profits, it should consider investment and and the quality of its production for recession era and also improve its state of liquidity for the boom period.

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