Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Progressive Education and Development

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2226-6348

Bayesian Model for Academic Performance Prediction in Learning Analytics

Siti Salwa Salleh, Yamin Yassin

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARPED/v13-i1/20364

Open access

The learning analytics dashboard (LAD) enables the prediction, tracking, and early recommendation of actions based on academic performance, student conduct, cognitive abilities, and personality traits. The creation of a questionnaire, which involved expert validation and a pilot test, came before the data gathering. Students independent traits, such as behaviour, cognitive skill, and personality, and academic data are the contingent variables. The study flow comprises knowledge acquisition, data collection and analysis, implementation that executes experiments, and evaluation. An exploratory data analysis (EDA) has been performed to investigate the patterns and trends within the data collected on students' characteristics. Simultaneously, a Bayesian prediction model has been created and trained using the gathered data. The forecasts yielded an accuracy of 81%. Additionally, the F1 scores of 0.74 indicate a moderate level of ability, while scores of 0.90 suggest a high level of performance, and scores of 0.98 indicate an excellent level of performance. The interpretation of the F1 score is conducted within the specific realm of the issue and compared to manual calculations. A satisfactory level of performance is considered acceptable. Within the scope of this investigation, a sensitivity score of 0.8 is deemed favourable due to its ability to accurately identify the related risk of misclassification.

Aldowah, H., Al-Samarraie, H., & Fauzy, W. M. (2019). Educational data mining and learning analytics for 21st century higher education: A review and synthesis. Telematics and Informatics, 37, 13–49.
Alves, G. R., Carvalho, R. N., & Lima, M. V. (2021). A Bayesian model for predicting the academic performance of students in blended learning environments. Computers & Education, 173, 104319.
Baker, R. S. (2016). Learning analytics and education data mining. In Handbook of Educational Psychology (pp. 272-290). Routledge.
Bodily, R., & Verbert, K. (2017). Review of research on student-facing learning analytics dashboards and educational recommender systems. IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 10(4), 405–418.
Guan, J., & Wen, Z. (2020). The association between personality and academic achievement: A meta-analysis. Personality and Individual Differences, 155, 109723.
Hilliger, I., Miranda, C., Schuit, G., Duarte, F., Anselmo, M., & Parra, D. (2021). Evaluating a Learning Analytics Dashboard to Visualize Student Self-Reports of Time-on-task: A Case Study in a Latin American University. ACM.
Khalil, M., & Ebner, M. (2014). Learning analytics: Challenges and limitations. In Proceedings of World Conference on Educational Multimedia, Hypermedia and
Telecommunications.
Matzen, L., Haass, M., Divis, K., & Stites, M. C. (2017). Patterns of Attention: How Data Visualizations Are Read. In International Conference on Augmented Cognition, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.
Millecamp, M., Gutiérrez, F., Charleer, S., Verbert, K., & De Laet, T. (2018). A Qualitative Evaluation of a Learning Dashboard. LAK’18, Association for Computing Machinery.
Muñoz-Merino, P. J., Ruipérez-Valiente, J. A., & Alario-Hoyos, C. (2019). Challenges and opportunities for learning analytics and adaptive learning in higher education. Journal of Interactive Media in Education, 2019(1), 2.
Ong, K. X., & Singh, D. (2021). Development of Learning Analytics Dashboard based on Moodle Learning Management System. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 12(7), 838-843.
Poropat, A. E. (2009). A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and academic performance. Psychological Bulletin, 135(2), 322-338.
Pintrich, P. R., Smith, D. A., Garcia, T., & McKeachie, W. J. (1993). Reliability and predictive validity of the motivated strategies for learning questionnaire (MSLQ). Educational and Psychological Measurement, 53(3), 801-813.
Wulandari, D. A., Annisa, R., Yusuf, L., & Prihatin, T. (2020). Educational data mining for student academic prediction using k-means clustering and naïve bayes classifier. Jurnal Pilar Nusa Mandiri, 16(2), 155-160.

(Salleh & Yassin, 2024)
Salleh, S. S., & Yassin, Y. (2024). Bayesian Model for Academic Performance Prediction in Learning Analytics. International Journal of Academic Research in Progressive Education and Development, 13(1), 1175–1186.