Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2222-6990

Revisiting The Impact of Insurance on Eocnomic Growth: A Study of Malaysia and Singapore

Lan Wen Hai, Norimah Binti Rambeli, Asmawi Bin Haji Hashim, Normala Binti Zulkifli

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v14-i2/20743

Open access

The objective of this study is to ascertain the short-term and long-term relationship between insurance and economic growth in Malaysia and Singapore from 1990 to 2022. Government debt and government expenditure are included as control variables, leading to the formulation of separate models for each country. The study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) dynamic analysis method. The findings reveal that, concerning the government debt model and expenditure model, both Malaysia and Singapore exhibit a long-term relationship. In the government debt model and expenditure model, a short-term relationship is identified with Error Correlation Model (ECM). As a result, the study confirms the positive impact of insurance on economic growth both in short-term and long-term in Malaysia, while the impact of insurance on economic growth is asymmetric in Singapore. this study found that insurance plays a more significant role in the developing economy compared to developed economy. Therefore, this study recommends that policymakers should encourage individuals to invest in insurance, as it proves beneficial to the economy in both the short and long run.

Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2012). Why nations fail: the origins of power, prosperity and poverty. New York, Crown Publishers.
Asongu, S., & Odhiambo, N. (2020). Insurance policy thresholds for economic growth in Africa. The European Journal of Development Research, 32(3), 672–
689.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-019- 00234-2
Bahal, G., Raissi, M., & Tulin, V. (2018). Crowding-out or crowding-in? Public and private
investment in India. World Development,109(September), 323–333
Balcilar, M., Gupta, R., Lee, C. C., and Olasehinde-Williams, G. (2020), “Insurance-growth nexus in Africa”, The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance – Issues and Practice, Vol. 45 No. 2, pp.335360.
Beck, T., & Webb, I. (2003). Economic, demographic, and institutional determinants of life
insurance consumption across countries. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper.
Beenstock, M., Dickinson, G., and Khajuria, S. (1986), The Determinants of Life Premi ums: An International Cross-Section Analysis 1970-1981, Insurance Mathematics and Economics, 5: 261-270.
Browne, M. J., and Kim, K. (1993), An International Analysis of Life Insurance Demand, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 60(4): 671-688.
Browne, M. J., Chung, J., & Frees, E. W. (2000). International Property-Liability Insurance
Consumption. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 67(1), 73–90.
Burhanudin, M. D. A., Muda, R., Nathan, S. B. S., &Arshad, R. (2017). Real effects of government debt on sustainable economic growth in Malaysia. Journal of International Studies,10(3), 161–172.
Chang, T., Lee, C., and Chang, C. (2014), “Does insurance activity promote Economic growth?
Further evidence based on bootstrap panel granger causality test”, The European Journal of Finance, Vol.20 No. 12, pp. 1187- 1210,
doi:10.1080/1351847x.2012.757555.
Cummins, J. D., & Weiss, M. A. (2000). Analyzing firm performance in the insurance industry
using frontier efficiency methods. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Deng Perron, (2008). The Limit Distribution of the CUSUM of Squares Test Under General
Mixing Conditions Econometric Theory, Vol. 24, No. 3, 2008 development: Which leads? Policy Research Paper, No. 2421, World Bank, Washington, DC.
DeVita, G., Trachanas, E., & Luo,Y.(2018). Revisitingthe Bi-directional causality between debt and growth: Evidence from linear and nonlinear tests. Journal of International Money and Finance,83,55–74.
Dickey, D. A., and Fuller, W. A. (1979) Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time
Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 47, 427-431.
Dragos, S. L., Mare, C., and Dragota, I. M. (2017). The nexus between the demand for life insurance and institutional factors in Europe: New evidence from a panel data approach. Economic Research 30, no. 1:1477–96.
Fung, M. K. (2009), “Financial development and economic growth: convergence or divergence?”,
Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 28 No. 1, pp. 56-67.
Gueyie, J. P. (2003), “Bank moral hazard and the introduction of official deposit insurance in Canada”, International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 12 No. 2, pp. 247-273.
Guo, F., Fung, H. G., and Huang, Y. S. (2009), “The dynamic impact of macro shocks on insurance premiums”, Journal of Financial Services Research, Vol. 35 No. 3, pp. 225-244.
Haiss, P. and Sümegi, K. (2008), “The relationship between insurance and economic growth in Europe: a theoretical and empirical analysis”, Empirica, Vol. 35 No. 4, pp. 405-431, doi: 10.1007/s10663- 008- 9075-2.
Huang, R., & Wald, J. K. (2017). The impact of insurance on the cost and demand for healthcare: A review of the literature. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 84(3), 819-849.
Lee, C. C., and Chiu, Y. B. (2012), “The impact of real income on insurance premiums: evidence from panel data”, International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 21 No. 1, pp. 246-260.
Lee, H. (2019). Insurance development and economic growth. Financial Statistical Journal 4: 1–16.
Liaqat, Z. (2019). Does government debt crowd out capital formation? A dynamic approach using panel VAR. Economics letters, 178, 86-90.
Loganathan, N., Ahmad, N., Subramaniam, T., and Taha, R. (2020) The dynamic effects of growth, financial development and trade openness on tax revenue in Malaysia. International Journal of Business and Society, 21 (1). pp. 42-62. ISSN 1511- 6670
Outreville, J. E. (1990), The Economic Significance of Insurance Markets in Developing Countries, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 57(3): 487-498.
Outreville, J. F. (1996). Life insurance markets in developing countries. Journal of Risk& Insurance. 63(2), 263
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. (2001) Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16 289-326.
Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., and Norman, N. R. (2015), “Insurance development and the finance-growth nexus: evidence from 34 OECD countries”, Journal of Multinational Financial Management. 31, pp. 1-22.
Phillips, P., and Hansen, B. (1990) Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I (1) Processes. Review of Economic Studies, 57, 99-125.
Ploberger and Kramer. (1990). The Cusum Test with Ols Residuals Werner Ploberger, Walter
KrämerEconometrica, Vol. 60, No. 2 (Mar., 1992), pp. 271-285 (15 pages) Prosperity, and Poverty. Crown Publishers.
Ratnawati, K. (2020). The Impact of Financial Inclusion on Economic Growth, Poverty, Income Inequality, and Financial Stability in Asia. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(10), 73–85. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020. vol7.no10.073
Vu, P.T., Huynh, N., Phan, H. and Hoang, H. (2023), “Financial earthquakes and aftershocks: from Brexit to Russia-Ukraine conflict and the stability of European banks”, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Vol. 88, p.101830.
Ward, D., & Zurbruegg, R. (2000). Does Insurance Promote Economic Growth? Evidence from OECD Countries. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 67(4), 489–506.
Weisbart, S. (2018). How insurance drives economic growth. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2), 45-62.

(Hai et al., 2024)
Hai, L. W., Rambeli, N. B., Hashim, A. B. H., & Zulkifli, N. B. (2024). Revisiting The Impact of Insurance on Eocnomic Growth: A Study of Malaysia and Singapore. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 14(2), 902–918.