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International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2225-8329

A Hybrid Stock Forecasting Model based on EMD -SVR and Technical Indicators Feature Selection

Liang-Ying Wei, Chih-Hung Tsai

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJARAFMS/v12-i1/12184

Open access

Stock forecasting is an important and interesting topic in time series forecasting. Accurate stock price is regard as a challenging task of the financial time forecasting process. However, there are three major drawbacks in stock market by traditional time-series model (1) some models can not be applied to the datasets that do not follow the statistical assumptions; and (2) most time-series models which use stock data with many noises involutedly (caused by changes in market conditions and environments) would reduce the forecasting performance; (3) Subjective selected technical indicators as input variable by personal experience would lead to lower forecasting accuracy. For solving above problems, this paper proposes a hybrid time-series support vector regression (SVR) model based on Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and technical indicators feature selection to forecast stock price for Taiwan stock exchange capitalization weighted stock index (TAIEX). In verification, this paper employs nine year period of TAIEX stock index, from 1997 to 2005, as experimental datasets, and the root mean square error (RMSE) as evaluation criterion. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model is superior to the listing methods in terms of root mean squared error.

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In-Text Citation: (Wei & Tsai, 2022)
To Cite this Article: Wei, L.-Y., & Tsai, C.-H. (2022). A Hybrid Stock Forecasting Model based on EMD -SVR and Technical Indicators Feature Selection. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting Finance and Management Sciences, 12(1), 184–200.