Journal Screenshot

International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences

Open Access Journal

ISSN: 2226-3624

Effects of Macroeconomic Variables, World Gold Prices, World Oil Prices, and Dow Jones Index on Japanese Stock Index Nikkei 225

Danang Sandhito Prabowo, Nadia Asandimitra

http://dx.doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v8-i3/6654

Open access

Japan is the second-largest foreign investor in Indonesia and has a Nikkei 225 stock index, which is the oldest stock index in Asia. This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, GDP, exchange rates, world gold prices, world oil prices, and Dow Jones index on the Nikkei 225 index. This type of quantitative research with a saturated sampling method (census) is using all data. The research object for the monthly Nikkei 225 index closing price 2006-2016. Data is obtained from the Yahoo Finance website, totaling 132 months. The data analysis technique uses multiple linear regression with IBM SPSS version 23. The results of the study, inflation has no effect because the inflation experienced by Japan is below 2%, Japan's benchmark interest rate has no effect because it only changes four times, the Japanese Yen exchange rate has no effect because investors prefer to invest in Japanese Yen-based investments, Japan's GDP is influential because Japan has experienced an economic recession, world gold prices have no effect because gold as a security asset in investing stocks, world oil prices have no effect because Japan is switching to gas energy, Dow Jones index is influential because America is one of the 5 largest economic cooperation countries with Japan.

Aimprasittichai, S., & Suppakittiwong, T. (2015). A Study of a Relationship Between The U.S. Stock Market and Emerging Stock Markets in Southeast Asia. Undergraduate Degree Project. Sweden. Retrieved from https://www.diva-
portal.org/smash/get/diva2:861617/FULLTEXT01.pdf
Arfaoui, M., & Rejeb, A. Ben. (2017). Oil, gold, US dollar, and stock market interdependencies?: a global analytical insight. European Journal of Management and Business Economics, 26(3), 278–293. https://doi.org/10.1108/EJMBE-10-2017-016
Bank of Japan. The “Price Stability Target” under the Framework for the Conduct of Monetary Policy (2013). Japan: Bank Of Japan. Retrieved from
https://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/release_2013/k130122b.pdf
Baur, D. G., & Mcdermott, T. K. (2010). Is gold a safe haven?? International evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 34(8), 1886–1898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.008
BBC.com. (2010). Nilai yen menguat terhadap dollar. Retrieved from
https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/dunia/2010/09/100908_japanyen
Bhunia, A., & Yaman, D. (2017). Is There a Causal Relationship Between Financial Markets in Asia and the US?? The Lahore Journal of Economics, 1, 71–90.
Bloomberg. (2011). Gold exports at highest level since ’85. Retrieved from https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2011/12/09/business/gold-exports-at-highest-level-since-85/#.XOIIKPkzbDc
Brasoveanu, L. O., & Catarama, D. (2008). Correlations Between Capital Market Development And Economic Growth?: The Case Of Romania. Journal Of Applied Quantitaitive Methods, 3(1), 64–75. Retrieved from http://www.jaqm.ro/issues/volume-3,issue-1/pdfs/obreja-brasoveanu_dragota_catarama_semenescu.pdf
Cappiello, L., Gerard, B., & Manganelli, S. (2004). The Contagion Box?: Measuring Co-movements in Financial Markets by Regression Quantiles. Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings, 77(February), 1–23. Retrieved from
https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecm/latm04/77.html
Chen, Z., & Uematsu, K. (2016). Analysis of the Linkage between Nikkei Stock Average and Foreign Stock Markets. International Research Journal, 30(1), 75–86. Retrieved from https://oiu.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=745&item_no=1&attribute_id=18&file_no=1
Choudhry, T., Hassan, S. S., & Shabi, S. (2015). Relationship between gold and stock markets during the global financial crisis: Evidence from nonlinear causality tests. International Review of Financial Analysis, 41(1), 247–256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2015.03.011
Degiannakis, S., Filis, G., & Arora, V. (2017). Oil Prices and Stock Markets (Independent Statistics & Analysis No. 20585). Washington. Retrieved from www.eia.gov
Donoso, D. I. C. (2009). Oil Price Shocks and Stock Markets. Retrieved from
https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/1-Oil-Price-Shocks-and-Stock-Markets-Donoso/9cfe979f7988fc50f0be95b9b295bd8fa6efb27f
Embassy of Japan in Indonesia. (2019). Ekonomi dan Industri. Retrieved from www.id.emb-japan.go.jp
Emi, U., Stapczynski, S., & Inajima, T. (2016). Japan Oil Imports Fall to Lowest Since 1988 as Demand Drops. Retrieved from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-25/japan-oil-imports-plunge-to-lowest-since-1998-as-demand-weakens
Evans, G. R. (2014). Exchange Rates. First Edition March 14. Retrieved from http://pages.hmc.edu/evans/ExchangeRates.pdf
Fama, E. F. (1995). Random walks in stock market prices. Financial Analysts Journal, 51(1), 75–80. Retrieved from https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.2469/faj.v51.n1.1861
Fauziana, L., Mulyaningsih, A., Anggraeni, E., M, S. C. Y., & Rofida, U. (2014). Keterkaitan Investasi Modal Terhadap GDP Indonesia. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 3(2), 372–380.
Folger, J. (2018). Index Investing: The Dow Jones Industrial Average. Retrieved from https://www.investopedia.com/university/indexes/index2.asp
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No Contagion , Only Interdependence?: Measuring Stock Market Comovements, LVII(5), 2223–2261.
Gray, S. (2018).

In-Text Citation: (Prabowo, & Asandimitra, 2019)
To Cite this Article: Prabowo, D. S., & Asandimitra, N. (2019). Effects of Macroeconomic Variables, World Gold Prices, World Oil Prices, and Dow Jones Index on Japanese Stock Index Nikkei 225. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 8(3), 80–99.